Please-God-Don’t-Let-Johnny-Doc-Win Update: Dicker Campaign In Shambles, Farnese Surging?
With less than a week to go before Election Day, there is both alarm and cause for hope if, like us, you would basically saw off your fucking leg before voting for Johnny Doc in the PA Senate race. This just in from the Larry Farnese (pictured) campaign:
According to national polling firm Anzalone-Liszt, Larry’s Fresh Start campaign has surged into a statistical dead heat with John Dougherty. As of April 14, Dougherty is at 30, Farnese is at 26 and Dicker is at 21 with a margin of error of 4.5.
This is great, if it does in fact turn out to be a reliable set of numbers: Bear in mind that the poll was commissioned by the Farnese campaign, and while the campaign does swear by their reliability, it is what it is. What’s just as interesting as Farnese’s surge is that Anne Dicker is making any kind of showing at all: On Monday, news broke that her campaign lost Karim Olaechea, campaign manager, and Matthew Goldfine, finance director. This is the worst kind of news, as Olaechea and Goldfine were, respectively, massive parts of the Dicker engine. And to lose them so close to Election Day? We almost don’t even wanna know what the hell happened there. No, wait, we totally do. Karim, get in touch, pal.
April 16th, 2008 at 5:21 pm
Is anyone else in Philebrity world getting polled a lot? I’ve got three polls for Clinton/Obama and five polls for the Doc/Farnese/Dicker campaign.
Scuttlebutt says someone’s internal poll numbers had something to do with either or both Olaechea and Goldfine’s departures. One or both might have even made an overture to Dicker to drop out and endorse Farnese.
I’ve been saying this since this horserace started: Dicker has no appeal beyond her “progressive” base. The Fumo district isn’t the enlightened enclave Dicker’s counting on and she and her staff just doesn’t know how to communicate their message to the rest of Philadelphia’s demographics. Activists make good lobbyists, not good statesmen, civil servants, or politicians.
April 16th, 2008 at 5:27 pm
Both went to the Dougherty campaign.
April 16th, 2008 at 7:06 pm
(Ann)had no appeal beyond her “progressive” base?
Is that why she nearly won the the first district state rep seat 2 years ago with 1/10th the cash of BOTH of her competitors?
April 16th, 2008 at 9:45 pm
That kind of strong showing by Dicker is surprising. I get mailers from Farnese pretty much every other day and constantly see him running TV spots, but have never seen anything from Dicker’s campaign.
Dicker seems like she’d be a great Senator, but I don’t follow state political issues very closely and my greatest motivation in voting is to ensure that Dougherty doesn’t win. If Farnese has a shot to take him out, he’ll get my vote.
April 16th, 2008 at 10:07 pm
Patricio, Ann_e_ didn’t win then. Yeah, she was “close” in the _175th_ district (btw, stick to digital video, spell and fact checks don’t matter as much when you’re doing Jay Leno “JayWalking” impressions). Of course by _close_, I guess you mean losing by almost 7 points and being only 2 points ahead of 3rd/last place (if so, I’m sure Drexel/Temple/Penn/PCC has some sort of PoliSci 101 to refresh your understanding of electoral math).
Now in the 1st she’s “close” for _2nd place_ (i.e. 3rd) this time. See a pattern? And the 175th is a lot smaller district, one made up by more of her “base” than Fumo’s Senate district.
From what I see, moneywise, Farnese and Dicker are about even financially (which is weird since Dicker’s got TOM KNOX backing, unless he’s fucking her as a spoiler to get Dougherty in).
Charge your battery and do something amusing.
April 17th, 2008 at 9:44 am
Its confirmed. You have to be from “Smugtown”. Your passive-aggressive behavior is always on and when challenged you go into outright hostility. You must’ve been a product of the “Genny” river.
It had to be that single reason why I forget an “e” at the end of a name. Heaven forbid.
You obviously have time to nitpick as to what is the measure of a close race. Congrats.
April 17th, 2008 at 11:11 am
Not nitpicking, P, just pointing out the actual margins which you’re obscuring in “facts” lifted right from Dicker’s campaign hagiography. It’s simple math, if you’re #2 and you’re vote count is significantly closer (by hundreds of votes) to #3 than the person who won, you weren’t close. There’s also the substance that if Dicker couldn’t get a nod in a district more comprised of her “base”, how’s she going to do in a larger field? Yeah, lots of questions in my challenges about your post’s challenges. Instead of arguing substance, though, you deal with the color commentary … like I said, stick with the Leno impression if you can’t handle the substance.